Never before the opposition had more possibility of winning
http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120924/never-before-the-opposition-had-more-possibility-of-winning
"Never before the opposition had more possibility of winning"
"Capriles is producing extraordinary evidence of courage, stamina, effort and conviction"
Rendón: Turnout is crucial (File photo)
"Never before the opposition had more possibility of winning"
"Capriles is producing extraordinary evidence of courage, stamina, effort and conviction"
ROBERTO GIUSTI | EL UNIVERSAL
Monday September 24, 2012 03:45 PM
A seasoned political consultant with 25 years of experience, including more than 5,000 polls, J.J. Rendón keeps track of the state of affairs in his country of origin, Venezuela.
What is your view of the election campaign as the presidential election is two weeks away?
There is a contrast relative to previous campaigns. I cannot see the same old effervescence and triumphalism of Chavezism. I can see an attempt to force situations involving oral steamrollers and a defensive stance. On the other hand, the expectation and fervor arisen by (challenger Henrique) Capriles (Radonski) and his courage to take on direct confrontation in key issues, such as ineptitude, ineffectiveness, unfulfilled promises and talkativeness. This has made the difference, both in the opposition and moderate and/or repented followers of President Hugo Chávez.
So, Capriles was right in a strategy that was much criticized.
When he said that welfare programs (the so-called missions) should remain yet upgraded, free from corruption and more efficient, some opposition sectors would be upset. Nevertheless, little by little they would realize that missions are people's asset that should be the banner not only of the government but of all Venezuelans.
Such a moderate, even speech, not replying to insults...
He does not reply yet puts him (President Chávez) in his place.
If the objectives and the strategy are right, therefore, victory is the logic result of such a successful endeavor.
Sure enough, the opposition has more choices than ever to win. I have no doubt about it. However you win or lose in an election and "it ain't over 'til it's over."
Are you suggesting that chance can change a fact?
No. I do not think that an election can be won on the eve. Capriles has enormous possibility of winning and he is doing right. We will see if such a mood will be materialized with a significant turnout of opposition voters, as well as moderate and disillusioned followers of President Chávez. When there are high abstention levels, the battle takes place between machineries. In this regard, the government economic power, as well as the mobilization of voters listed as followers may make the difference provided that people do not win. Now, therefore, if people go and cast their ballots, Capriles could win.
The problem lies in the contradictory findings of polls and the way of construing them.
But the environment, the morale, the mood, speaks a lot of the campaign. Nobody is to tell me that John McCain, at some point in his campaign thought that he could beat (US President Barack) Obama. Here, the environment is of a campaign full of good energy in the case of Capriles, well above Chávez's, which is ambivalent, with ups and downs, mistakes, adjournments.
Polls...
A review of polls will show contradictions in construing the findings. I make emphasis on more qualitative and perhaps less technical components, yet based on reality.
In this regard, Capriles...
...has provided extraordinary evidence of featuring such attributes: courage, stamina, endeavor, closeness, humility, openness, tolerance, respect for voters, harmony and unity which tie all Venezuelans fed up of conflict and sterile promises.
Against a backdrop of general crisis, is not unusual that Chávez is still in the election contest?
It is not absurd at all, after 14 years of brainwashing, with an overwhelming media apparatus, superb discipline in a single message and an Oscar nominee for Best Actor, Chávez, who managed to get into Venezuelans' idiosyncrasy. And those who still believe in him are in a state of drowsiness and collective blindness. Furthermore, some suffer from the Stockholm Syndrome and got used to be mistreated and cheated. "Poor of my commander! It's not his fault. He is a nice guy," they would say. He might be or used to be so. However, after 14 years, it has been proved that he is either a liar and a manipulator or one of the most inept leaders in the history of humankind.
Translated by Conchita Delgado
What is your view of the election campaign as the presidential election is two weeks away?
There is a contrast relative to previous campaigns. I cannot see the same old effervescence and triumphalism of Chavezism. I can see an attempt to force situations involving oral steamrollers and a defensive stance. On the other hand, the expectation and fervor arisen by (challenger Henrique) Capriles (Radonski) and his courage to take on direct confrontation in key issues, such as ineptitude, ineffectiveness, unfulfilled promises and talkativeness. This has made the difference, both in the opposition and moderate and/or repented followers of President Hugo Chávez.
So, Capriles was right in a strategy that was much criticized.
When he said that welfare programs (the so-called missions) should remain yet upgraded, free from corruption and more efficient, some opposition sectors would be upset. Nevertheless, little by little they would realize that missions are people's asset that should be the banner not only of the government but of all Venezuelans.
Such a moderate, even speech, not replying to insults...
He does not reply yet puts him (President Chávez) in his place.
If the objectives and the strategy are right, therefore, victory is the logic result of such a successful endeavor.
Sure enough, the opposition has more choices than ever to win. I have no doubt about it. However you win or lose in an election and "it ain't over 'til it's over."
Are you suggesting that chance can change a fact?
No. I do not think that an election can be won on the eve. Capriles has enormous possibility of winning and he is doing right. We will see if such a mood will be materialized with a significant turnout of opposition voters, as well as moderate and disillusioned followers of President Chávez. When there are high abstention levels, the battle takes place between machineries. In this regard, the government economic power, as well as the mobilization of voters listed as followers may make the difference provided that people do not win. Now, therefore, if people go and cast their ballots, Capriles could win.
The problem lies in the contradictory findings of polls and the way of construing them.
But the environment, the morale, the mood, speaks a lot of the campaign. Nobody is to tell me that John McCain, at some point in his campaign thought that he could beat (US President Barack) Obama. Here, the environment is of a campaign full of good energy in the case of Capriles, well above Chávez's, which is ambivalent, with ups and downs, mistakes, adjournments.
Polls...
A review of polls will show contradictions in construing the findings. I make emphasis on more qualitative and perhaps less technical components, yet based on reality.
In this regard, Capriles...
...has provided extraordinary evidence of featuring such attributes: courage, stamina, endeavor, closeness, humility, openness, tolerance, respect for voters, harmony and unity which tie all Venezuelans fed up of conflict and sterile promises.
Against a backdrop of general crisis, is not unusual that Chávez is still in the election contest?
It is not absurd at all, after 14 years of brainwashing, with an overwhelming media apparatus, superb discipline in a single message and an Oscar nominee for Best Actor, Chávez, who managed to get into Venezuelans' idiosyncrasy. And those who still believe in him are in a state of drowsiness and collective blindness. Furthermore, some suffer from the Stockholm Syndrome and got used to be mistreated and cheated. "Poor of my commander! It's not his fault. He is a nice guy," they would say. He might be or used to be so. However, after 14 years, it has been proved that he is either a liar and a manipulator or one of the most inept leaders in the history of humankind.
Translated by Conchita Delgado
Labels: Elections, Henrique Capriles, J.J. Rendon, Presidential Elections, Venezuela
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